6
Tango Theatre
11yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 92
Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA94 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA95 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA97 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | BHA88 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Sligo | BHA88 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Bangor-on-Dee | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/04/2025 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/06/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 04/07/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 14% | -0.33 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |