17

The Cobblers Wife

8yo Mare · 10-1 · OR 73

Wexford · SIS Handicap Hurdle (0-100) · 3m

#14

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Poor maiden handicapper that has stamina to prove at this sort of trip. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: BHA73
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Punchestown 13/11/2025 · Pos 16th of 21 · OR - · 1m7f187y Hvy 15913/11C8C8 @ Punchestown 11/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m12y Sft 15911/12C8C8 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 2m180y Sft 1511/01C8BHA80 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 17 · OR 80 · 2m Sft 149 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 80 par4/0380OR 80BHA77 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 77 · 2m2f188y Sft 145 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 77 par26/0377OR 77BHA75 @ Tramore 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 75 · 2m4f110y Yie 143 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 75 par19/0475OR 75projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA730
2026-04-19TramoreBHA754th4th0
2026-03-26ClonmelBHA776th6th0
2026-03-04NaasBHA8015th15th0
2026-02-18PunchestownBHA800
2026-01-01Tramore?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1111/121/014/0326/0319/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength79%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/202516th125/10%25%+0.25
11/12/20257th150/10%14%+0.14
01/01/20269th300/10%33%+0.33
04/03/202615th100/10%13%+0.13
26/03/20266th66/10%64%+0.64
19/04/20264th40/10%80%+0.80