2
Deise Crystal
5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 96
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA97 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA95 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cork | BHA96 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-08 | Naas | BHA97 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Naas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Thurles | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 07/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |