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14

Hob's Angel

10yo Mare · 10-5 · OR 77

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y

#4

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took advantage of career-low mark at Clonmel (2½m) in May before finishing second in a 15-runner event at Limerick later in the month. Ran well when 5¼ lengths third of 13 to Set The Tone at this course 15 days ago. Capable of being involved.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Tramore 17/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m7f140y Gd 142 · below its mark17/08/2025 · OR 74 par17/0874OR 74BHA74 @ Thurles 16/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 74 · 2m6f154y Goo 142 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 74 parBHA74 @ Wexford 26/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 74 · 2m4f Yie 144 · below its mark26/10/2025 · OR 74 par26/1074OR 74BHA74 @ Tramore 25/11/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 74 · 2m5f Sft 143 · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 74 parBHA73 @ Tramore 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 73 · 2m4f110y Yie 141 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 73 par19/0473OR 73BHA72 @ Clonmel 14/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 72 · 2m3f116y Goo 143 · beat its mark14/05/2026 · OR 72 parBHA78 @ Limerick 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 78 · 2m3f200y Sft 147 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 78 par28/0578OR 78BHA78 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 78 · 2m6f120y Gd 146 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 77 · 3m Gd 145 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 77 par23/0777OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA773rd3rd0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA785th5th0
2026-05-28LimerickBHA783rd3rd0
2026-05-14ClonmelBHA721st1st0
2026-04-19TramoreBHA736th6th0
2025-11-25TramoreBHA7415th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0825/1128/0523/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20258th5/174%13%-0.61
16/10/20254th20/10%82%+0.82
26/10/20256th9/153%58%+0.06
25/11/202515th8/158%7%-0.51
19/04/20266th28/10%67%+0.67
14/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
28/05/20263rd5/174%86%+0.12
02/07/20265th11/142%76%+0.34
23/07/20263rd17/255%83%+0.28