11
Itaintmebabe
7yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 84
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | BHA85 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Chepstow | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Fakenham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Worcester | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-03 | Southwell | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 26/05/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/06/2025 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 14/05/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |