3
Layenda
5yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 95
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA97 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Downpatrick | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Fairyhouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 15/12/2025 | 14th | 250/1 | 0% | 28% | +0.28 |
| 03/02/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 200/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |