9

Madam Elle

6yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Timeform

Commentary

Has made little impact in 5 starts over hurdles, including on handicap debut on latest

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 07/12/2025 · Pos 15th of 19 · OR - · 2m200y Sft 1597/12C8C8 @ Limerick 27/12/2025 · Pos 14th of 18 · OR - · 2m4f Hvy 15327/12C8C8 @ Clonmel 08/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 2m202y Hvy 1538/01C8C8 @ Limerick 10/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f150y Hvy 16110/02C8BHA87 @ Naas 04/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 17 · OR 87 · 2m Sft 156 · below its mark04/03/2026 · OR 87 par4/0387OR 87projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-04NaasBHA8713th13th0
2026-02-10Limerick?7th7th0
2026-01-08Clonmel?11th11th0
2025-12-27Limerick?14th14th0
2025-12-07Cork?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1227/128/0110/024/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/202515th250/10%22%+0.22
27/12/202514th300/10%24%+0.24
08/01/202611th300/10%38%+0.38
10/02/20267th250/10%40%+0.40
04/03/202613th66/10%25%+0.25