10
Notmiwadi
5yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y
#13
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Kilbeggan | BHA86 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Roscommon | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Downpatrick | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-06 | Wexford | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-04-20 | Fairyhouse | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2025 | 17th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2025 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 25/08/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 29/09/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/07/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |