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5

Riverstown Boy

5yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 94

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Point winner who has shown some ability despite finishing just outside the frame on all 3 starts in maiden hurdles. Open to improvement now tackling a handicap.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 05/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 2m113y Goo 1585/06C8C8 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR - · 2m4f Gd 1662/07C8C8 @ Cork 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 3m Goo 16610/07C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Cork?5th5th0
2026-07-02Limerick?5th5th0
2026-06-05Clonmel?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/062/0710/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength58%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/06/20265th80/10%71%+0.71
02/07/20265th50/10%76%+0.76
10/07/20265th25/10%60%+0.60