13

Sekakarma

9yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 79

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y

#15

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a step back in the right direction when 12½ lengths fourth of 15 to Small Bucks at Downpatrick last time but has stamina to prove back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Tipperary 18/04/2023 · Pos 11th of 19 · OR - · 2m4f45y Yie 15818/04C8C8 @ Killarney 15/05/2023 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 15815/05C8C8 @ Down Royal 10/11/2023 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 2m6f110y Sft 16610/11C8C8 @ Navan 17/11/2025 · Pos 16th of 22 · OR - · 2m4f50y Sft 16617/11C8BHA84 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 84 · 2m Goo 153 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 84 par13/0584OR 84BHA84 @ Listowel 30/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 84 · 2m4f80y Goo 152 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 84 par30/0584OR 84BHA81 @ Downpatrick 14/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 81 · 2m1f165y Gd 149 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 81 par14/0781OR 81projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-14DownpatrickBHA814th4th0
2026-05-30ListowelBHA849th9th0
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA845th5th0
2025-12-02ClonmelBHA870
2025-11-17Navan?16th16th0
2023-11-10Down Royal?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0417/1114/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/04/202311th150/10%44%+0.44
15/05/20236th250/10%64%+0.64
10/11/20237th150/10%57%+0.57
17/11/202516th250/10%29%+0.29
13/05/20265th40/10%76%+0.76
30/05/20269th14/126%53%+0.27
14/07/20264th14/126%79%+0.52