13

Sekakarma
9yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 79
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y
#15
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA81 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | BHA84 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA84 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Clonmel | BHA87 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-17 | Navan | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2023-11-10 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2023 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/05/2023 | 6th | 250/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 10/11/2023 | 7th | 150/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/11/2025 | 16th | 250/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |