8

Zaryagle

5yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1) · 2m 4f 55y

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Timeform

Commentary

Showed poor form in maiden hurdles and made no impact in a couple of handicaps afterwards. Improvement needed on return from 292-day absence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 01/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m Goo 1631/06C?C8 @ Roscommon 07/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f204y Gd 1547/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 05/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f110y Goo 1555/08C8C8 @ Tramore 14/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m Gd 15314/08C8BHA94 @ Galway 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 94 · 2m130y Yie 152 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 94 par7/1094OR 94projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-19LimerickBHA910
2025-10-07GalwayBHA946th6th0
2025-08-14Tramore?9th9th0
2025-08-05Roscommon?5th5th0
2025-07-07Roscommon?10th10th0
2025-06-01Kilbeggan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/067/075/0814/087/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20256th50/10%55%+0.55
07/07/202510th80/10%40%+0.40
05/08/20255th100/10%71%+0.71
14/08/20259th18/15%20%+0.15
07/10/20256th28/10%50%+0.50