13
Ballinaboola Gold
5yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 77
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#9
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 9.2)
Highest class: BHA79
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA79 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA81 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Wexford | BHA82 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | BHA79 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | BHA81 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | BHA83 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2026 | 7th | 300/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/03/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 26/03/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 94% | +0.68 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 65% | +0.02 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.30 |