8
Ballinvasas Best
8yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 81
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA82 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Listowel | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2024-08-23 | Kilbeggan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-07-25 | Wexford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-07-12 | Kilbeggan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2024 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 25/07/2024 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 23/08/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 62% | -0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |