10
China Grill
5yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 80
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#17
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Roscommon | BHA83 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Clonmel | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Tramore | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/07/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |