IvyArcIvyArc
2

Chosen Princess

5yo Mare · 11-9 · OR 93

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y

#6

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in bumper/3 maiden hurdles but appeals as one who may do better now moving into handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Thurles 20/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 2m26y Yie 16520/12C?C8 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 2m3f Yie 1615/04C8C8 @ Limerick 16/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m5f100y Sft 16116/04C8C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 2m6f100y Goo 15311/05C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-11Killarney?7th7th0
2026-04-16Limerick?6th6th0
2026-04-05Cork?4th4th0
2025-12-20Thurles?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/125/0416/0411/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength68%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/12/202511th50/10%33%+0.33
05/04/20264th250/10%77%+0.77
16/04/20266th33/10%50%+0.50
11/05/20267th22/10%60%+0.60