14
Dark Berkshire
6yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 77
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 9.3)
Highest class: BHA78
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA78 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA80 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | BHA83 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-27 | Thurles | BHA85 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Clonmel | BHA88 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Kilbeggan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2025 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 25/07/2025 | 10th | 300/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/08/2025 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 02/10/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |