7

Davitts Quay

5yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 82

Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y

#16

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lightly-raced maiden. Pulled up in handicap hurdle (28/1) at this course (17f, good) 15 days ago. Hard to fancy after that.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 26/02/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f64y Hvy 15826/02C8C8 @ Wexford 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 16610/04C8C8 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 2m80y Goo 15820/04C8BHA87 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 87 · 2m1f55y Gd 155 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 87 par3/0787OR 87projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23WexfordBHA850
2026-07-03WexfordBHA8711th11th0
2026-04-20Tramore?10th10th0
2026-04-10Wexford?7th7th0
2026-02-26Clonmel?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0210/0420/043/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 17
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/02/202615th150/10%7%+0.07
10/04/20267th100/10%45%+0.45
20/04/202610th80/10%10%+0.10
03/07/202611th40/10%23%+0.23