6
Larkins Lane
7yo Mare · 11-1 · OR 85
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA78 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA74 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tramore | BHA76 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Clonmel | BHA77 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength81%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 04/07/2025 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |