9
Mother Ship
6yo Mare · 10-11 · OR 81
Wexford · Pat Farrell Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2) · 2m 4f 55y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Killarney | BHA84 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Tramore | BHA85 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | BHA86 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-16 | Thurles | BHA86 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | BHA86 | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-06 | Stratford | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 17
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 13/07/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 87% | +0.81 |
| 14/08/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 06/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 76% | +0.50 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 30/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 22% | +0.17 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 31% | +0.04 |