2

Bredas Pearl

5yo Mare · 11-11

Wexford · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Flat Race · 2m 160y

#2

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Postponed mare who showed some ability 4 months on from her debut when third of 14 in bumper at this course (17f, good) 15 days ago. More needed for win purposes, though.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hexham 25/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m48y Sft 15825/034C0 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 2m150y Gd 16123/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Wexford?3rd3rd0
2026-03-25Hexham45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0323/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/03/20265th4/179%43%-0.36
23/07/20263rd33/10%85%+0.85