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9yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 81
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 20/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 17/10/2025 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/12/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |