Delian League
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-10 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-02-17 | Turf Paradise | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 17/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |