1

Secret Storm

6yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88

Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Woodbine 30/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 79 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark30/05/2025 · OR 79 par30/05C8OR 79C8 @ Woodbine 08/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark08/06/2025 · OR 85 parC8 @ Woodbine 20/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 85 · 6f110y Gd 124 · beat its mark20/06/2025 · OR 85 par20/06C8OR 85C8 @ Woodbine 01/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 86 parC7 @ Woodbine 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 92 · 7f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/09/2025 · OR 92 par14/09C7OR 92C7 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 7f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 90 parC7 @ Woodbine 14/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 87 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/12/2025 · OR 87 par14/12C7OR 87C7 @ Woodbine 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 94 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Woodbine 18/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 92 · 6f110y Fas 123 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 92 par18/06C8OR 92projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-18Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-05-03Woodbine?3rd2nd+1
2025-12-14Woodbine?6th5th+1
2025-10-24Woodbine?5th4th+1
2025-09-14Woodbine?6th5th+1
2025-08-01Woodbine?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/051/0814/1218/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20254th13/266%63%-0.03
08/06/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
20/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
01/08/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
14/09/20256th10/147%38%-0.10
24/10/20255th14/126%20%-0.06
14/12/20256th33/10%44%+0.44
03/05/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
18/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34