Sunrise Drive
8yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 95
Woodbine · Race 1 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 07/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 21/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 30/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 29% | -0.24 |
| 21/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |