Brockwell

3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 65

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.5

Today:

Class gap: +2.0

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-24	Woodbine	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-07-05	Woodbine	?	6th	4th	+2	6.4
2026-06-14	Woodbine	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 9

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength19%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/06/2026	5th	8/1	58%	50%	-0.08
05/07/2026	6th	8/1	58%	29%	-0.29
24/07/2026	5th	7/1	63%	33%	-0.30