3

Kairos Moment

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 52

Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Woodbine 26/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 12026/06C9C7 @ Woodbine 11/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/07/2025 · OR 73 par11/07C7OR 73C9 @ Woodbine 25/07/2025 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 71 · 6f110y 120 · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 71 par25/07C9OR 71C9 @ Woodbine 22/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m110y Fas 120 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 71 par22/08C9OR 71projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-08-22Woodbine?10th10th0
2025-07-25Woodbine?11th11th0
2025-07-11Woodbine?8th6th+2
2025-06-26Woodbine?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0611/0725/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20252nd20/10%88%+0.88
11/07/20258th12/137%13%-0.24
25/07/202511th5/174%0%-0.74
22/08/202510th15/261%0%-0.61