Love Puddles
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 64
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-11-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 11/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 09/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |