Souper Effect
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 80
Woodbine · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-25 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-06-01 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 25/07/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 17/08/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 26/09/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |