5
Ride For The Purse
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/08/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 10/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 24/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 21/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |