Thanks Your Honour

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 78

Woodbine · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

13%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength50%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.2

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-09	Woodbine	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-06-14	Woodbine	?	1st	0th	+1	5.0
2026-05-17	Woodbine	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 7

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength82%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/05/2026	7th	10/1	47%	0%	-0.47
14/06/2026	1st	7/1	63%	100%	+0.37
09/07/2026	6th	12/1	37%	38%	+0.01