Found Money
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 70
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-27 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |