9
Tuckers Town
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 66
Woodbine · Race 4 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 7f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/07/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |