9
Ethnic Soul
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 11/07/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 03/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 05/09/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 28/09/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 29/11/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |