Onenightstandards
8yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/2024 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 08/12/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 26/02/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 10/11 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |