Sailor's Passion
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 04/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 20/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |