1
Shamateur
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 13% | -0.45 |