2
So Called Vacation
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength14%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-08-18 | Fort Erie | ? | +3 | ||
| 2025-07-25 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 25/05/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 20/06/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 07/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 17/10/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 20/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |