4

Autobahn Ace

4yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 82

Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength21%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Hastings Racecourse 01/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 1171/06C9C5 @ Woodbine 20/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 78 · 1m1f 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2025 · OR 78 par20/07C5OR 78BHA77 @ Woodbine 30/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark30/08/2025 · OR 77 par30/0877OR 77C6 @ Woodbine 12/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 80 par12/07C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Woodbine?6th4th+2
2025-08-30WoodbineBHA778th8th0
2025-07-20Woodbine?9th5th+3
2025-06-01Hastings Racecourse?1st2nd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0620/0730/0812/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength28%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
20/07/20259th40/10%0%0.00
30/08/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
12/07/20266th20/10%17%+0.17