Draw Boot
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2024-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2024-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/11/2024 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 12/06/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |