Drop Your Gloves
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 77
Woodbine · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fort Erie | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-09-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |
| 15/06/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 04/07/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 01/09/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |
| 21/09/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 13/10/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |