Accelerando
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 78
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
90%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 17/01/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |