4

Bankingonamiracle

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 87

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength53%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 21/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 92 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 92 par21/09C7OR 92C7 @ Woodbine 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 90 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/10/2025 · OR 90 parC7 @ Woodbine 01/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 93 · 5f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 93 par1/11C7OR 93C7 @ Woodbine 27/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 95 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/11/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Woodbine 02/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 88 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/05/2026 · OR 88 par2/05C7OR 88C7 @ Woodbine 24/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 7f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2026 · OR 82 parC8 @ Woodbine 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 80 par13/06C8OR 80C7 @ Woodbine 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 80 · 1m Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Woodbine 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark24/07/2026 · OR 84 par24/07C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-06-25Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-06-13Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-05-24Woodbine?6th5th+1
2026-05-02Woodbine?7th6th+1
2025-11-27Woodbine?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0927/1113/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20255th4/179%20%-0.59
19/10/20255th9/153%43%-0.10
01/11/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
27/11/20252nd10/147%75%+0.28
02/05/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
24/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
13/06/20264th13/266%57%-0.09
25/06/20264th9/276%40%-0.36
24/07/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08