1

King Rosso

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 90

Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength52%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 03/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 93 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/08/2025 · OR 93 par3/08C6OR 93C6 @ Woodbine 31/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 94 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/08/2025 · OR 94 parC6 @ Woodbine 21/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 93 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 93 par21/09C6OR 93C6 @ Woodbine 24/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 93 · 1m110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Woodbine 20/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 92 par20/11C7OR 92C8 @ Gulfstream 01/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 91 parC8 @ Woodbine 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 75 · 1m110y 122 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 75 par17/05C8OR 75C8 @ Woodbine 13/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m110y Fm 125 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 72 parC7 @ Woodbine 12/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 76 par12/07C7OR 76projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12Woodbine?5th4th+1
2026-06-13Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-05-17Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-02-01Gulfstream?7th7th0
2025-11-20Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2025-10-24Woodbine?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0824/1017/0512/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength53%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/08/20254th6/168%73%+0.04
31/08/20254th5/287%50%-0.37
21/09/20253rd7/163%75%+0.12
24/10/20251st13/891%100%+0.09
20/11/20254th2/189%57%-0.32
01/02/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
17/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
13/06/20263rd5/287%71%-0.15
12/07/20265th11/486%33%-0.52