5
True Shot
5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 7 - Claiming · 7f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/09/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 03/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 26/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 23/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 24/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |