6
Mach Two Blue
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 59
Woodbine · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Fort Erie | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-09-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2025-06-05 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 22/05/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/07/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |