Bet Bold

2yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 9 · OR 62

Belmont Park · Race 1 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▬ RUNS TO MARK

Move▬

Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.9 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-02	Saratoga	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2026-07-19	Saratoga	?	9th	8th	+1	1.6
2026-06-25	Belmont At The Big A	?	4th	3rd	+1	6.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-7 · tight 73/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength37%

Delivery trend +15.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/06/2026	4th	15/2	61%	50%	-0.11
19/07/2026	9th	20/1	0%	11%	+0.11
02/09/2026	9th	25/1	0%	20%	+0.20