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13:01 · Uttoxeter

F Ball 140th Anniversary Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div 1)

1m 7f 168yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
6/4
Governors Rock silks

Gummerson, Martin, W T Walsh & William

Governors Rock

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Joshua Tree - Tipping On (Beneficial)

James Bowen60%0/2W Greatrex
81100
4.0Class ↓4

Beat a subsequent bumper/maiden hurdle winner when successful in pair of bumpers for Mark Fahey. Changed hands for £100,000 and disappointing (albeit highly tried) in listed/Grade 2 bumpers for new connections last season. Still a very interesting hurdling debutant in the context of a thin race.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/0724/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a12/09 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a7/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼3
Strength26%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 46%5/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%24/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%7/02Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 26%11/04
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-660/100
8
3
8/1
Venezuelan silks

Le Soleil Racing

Venezuelan

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Churchill - Santa Teresa (Cape Cross)

James Davies70%G Hanmer60%
No form3.0
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful 1½m winner for Ralph Beckett in 2025. Form went wrong way for current yard this year and may be one for the longer-term now hurdling.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par6/1030/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par27/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 89%6/10Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%24/07Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%22/08
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
88%1-570/100
5
Market FavTop Pick1
10/11
Analogical silks

Mrs R J Skan

Analogical

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Ulysses - Muqantara (First Samurai)

Sean Houlihan60%P Hobbs & J White
No form4.0Going 8.0

Fairly useful winning stayer for Sir Mark Prescott. The clear pick of those with Flat form and certainly looks the type to make a hurdler. Likely to run a big race on hurdling debut for a good yard.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0420/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 67%7/04Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 17%19/06Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%1/07
Projected finish3rd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
75%1-1029/100
10
4
20/1
Mighty Dink silks

Equine America Uk Ltd

Mighty Dink

4yo Filly · 10-10

Dink - Sopat (Gold Well)

Harry Skelton80%0/1D Skelton80%
68
2.0

At long odds when well held both maiden starts. Another quick turnaround suggests she's a handicap project for top connections.

Class Advantage

14/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/0926/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%14/09Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%26/09
Projected finish4th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
63%9-971/100
9
7
50/1
Lara K silks

Mrs C Williams

Lara K

5yo Mare · 10-11

Make Believe - Shanjia (Soldier Hollow)

Conor Ring60%0/2Mrs C Williams
76
3.0

Flat-bred mare who is again turned out quickly, having shown little on either start to date.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/0926/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%18/09Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 38%26/09
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%3-371/100
1
5
50/1
Dontcontradictme silks

Mr Cian Fenelon

Dontcontradictme

6yo Gelding · 11-4

Watar - Three Blessings (Mark Of Esteem)

S Bowen80%M Bowen60%
38P6
3.0
Hood

Showed ability on the first of 2 bumper starts. Lame on hurdling debut in August 2025 and offered little on return at Newton Abbot (2¾m) latest. Probably one for handicaps now.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0624/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/0718/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 22%24/07Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%18/09
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
38%1-1024/100
6
9
33/1
Rose Warrior silks

A C O'Keeffe

Rose Warrior

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Invincible Spirit - Penny Rose (Danehill Dancer)

Ian Power60%0/2J Candlish60%
84
3.0
Cheek pieces

Modest maiden on Flat. Hasn't achieved anything in a couple of novice runs and is probably a handicap project.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/0914/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%29/09Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 10%25/04Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 22%7/07Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 57%8/09
Projected finish7th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
25%4-1057/100
7
6
50/1
Troy Story silks

Friends Of The Ballygarry

Troy Story

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Ulysses - Dainty's Daughter (Cape Cross)

Lee Edwards0/1Dave Roberts90%
0
2.0
1st Hood +11st Tongue Strap +2

Fair on the Flat for Alan King/Eve Johnson Houghton. Left previous connections for just 5,000 gns prior to finishing down the field on hurdling debut/return. Entitled to still need this.

Class Advantage

3/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/11 · mark par3/1124/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par12/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/12 · mark par7/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/01 · mark par24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par10/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%3/11Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%12/12Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%24/01Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%10/09
Projected finish8th of 9
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
13%7-1076/100
3
8
OR 59
66/1
Scopic silks

Mr M M Allen

Scopic

5yo Gelding · 11-4

Telescope - Chesabel (Alflora)

R P McLernon60%0/2B Haslam70%
68P60
2.0
HoodTongue strap

Well beaten all 5 starts to date, latterly from out of the weights in first-time hood/tongue tie on handicap debut at Sedgefield.

Class Advantage

1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/0424/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0520/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a20/0728/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%1/04Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 13%24/05Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 29%20/07Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%28/08
Projected finish9th of 9
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-1073/100