13:45 · Killarney

Gleneagle Arena Killarney Rated Novice Hurdle

2m 1fGoing TBC4YO plusTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
2
3/1
Belladaball silks

B Walsh & Galloping Gallivanters

5yo Mare · 12-0

Elusive Pimpernel - Maisy Daisy (Luso)

Keith Donoghue60%1/2G P Cromwell60%
4104F1
7.0Class ↓7
Tongue strap

Listed bumper winner who confirmed previous promise over hurdles when winning 9-runner maiden at Sligo (2¼m, good) in mid-August, having plenty more left to give after settling much better than the favourite. Another jolt of improvement needed but that's possible.

Class Advantage

13/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a13/1217/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a4/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength72%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%13/12Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%4/04Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 70%10/07Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish1st of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-375/100
5
Top Pick1
OR 115
4/1
Firebrand silks

John J Nallen

6yo Gelding · 11-9

Siyouni - Firedance (Lomitas)

Alan O'Sullivan60%1/2−5lbJ Nallen60%
322541
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Attracted strong late support in a change of headgear and finally got off the mark having been allowed the run of things in 20-runner maiden at Galway (17f, good to soft) last month, jumping fluently. Big shout if the headgear is equally effective here.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par25/1020/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%25/10Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 95%6/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%6/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
83%1-655/100
2
Market Fav4
OR 118
11/4
Lips Freedom silks

Tinnahinch Construction Limited

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Free Eagle - Lips Arrow (Big Shuffle)

Donagh Meyler60%2/4A Kinirons
001102
6.0Class ↓7
Tongue strap

Much improved when winning at Downpatrick in March and defied an 11 lb higher mark over C&D in July. Couple of lesser efforts followed (including on Flat) but resumed progress when second of 13 at Navan (2m, good to soft) recently (picked off late by a stronger stayer). Fancied to be bang there.

Class Advantage

20/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/01 · mark par20/0129/03 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par16/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par1/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par13/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par19/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%20/01Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%16/07Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 37%Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 19%13/09Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%19/09
Projected finish3rd of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-378/100
7
3
OR 109
14/1
Rosenborg silks

Kathy's Crew Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-3

Muhtathir - Stellarmor (Soldier Of Fortune)

Ross Sugrue60%1/2−7lbP J Rothwell
370216
5.0

Progressed again when winning 14-runner maiden at Wexford in August but failed to back that up switched to a handicap at Kilbeggan last time, doing too much in racing clear with one other for a fair portion of the race. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/069/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%6/06Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 27%9/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%12/07Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%7/08Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%4/09
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%4-860/100
3
5
OR 117
11/2
Cocofred silks

J Allday

5yo Gelding · 11-11

Vadamos - Debut (Presenting)

Darragh O'Keeffe60%1/2H De Bromhead60%
57419
4.0

Continued a theme of progression over hurdles when winning 15-runner maiden at Roscommon in July by 4 lengths from Astelia. However, he ran too badly to be true having been sent off favourite on handicap debut last month so worth another chance.

Class Advantage

3/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/024/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%3/02Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 68%4/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%30/05Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 9 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 9 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-830/100
8
6
OR 104
25/1
No Mon No Fun silks

M O Cullinane

5yo Gelding · 10-13

Sholokhov - Pecunia (Presenting)

Carl Millar60%−5lbD Collins
FP418
5.0

Much improved from debut with win in 13-runner maiden hurdle at Ballinrobe (17f, good) in July but got nowhere near to backing that up when tailed off at Kilbeggan (19f, good to soft) the following month. Has since moved yards.

Class Advantage

2/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0721/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0721/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 82%2/07Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%21/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%21/08
Projected finish6th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
17%4-855/100
6
7
5/1
Celtic Alliance silks

Mrs Judith Matthews & Mrs Sheila O'Ryan

4yo Filly · 11-3

Order Of St George - Colleen Donnoige (Beneficial)

Jack Kennedy60%G Elliott
13
7.0

Made a winning start in an ordinary juvenile maiden hurdle at Clonmel (2m) in April. Wasn't able to repeat that effort when third of 7 in mares' novice at Perth (2½m) later the same month, but it remains early days for her.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0423/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▼2
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%2/04Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%23/04
Projected finish7th of 7
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%8-871/100