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15:05 · Kelso

Scottish Racing Academy Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m 2f 39yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 111
10/11
Upfordebate silks

Mr Eamon McElligott

Upfordebate

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Mount Nelson - Mrs Peachey (Brian Boru)

B S Hughes70%5/8P Neville80%
155381
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Has thrived since going chasing, winning 4 times at up to 3¼m last year. Resumed from 5 months off with another victory in 9-runner handicap at Perth (3m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Up 6 lb but he's not taken lightly.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par5/1216/02 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par10/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par22/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 39y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%5/12Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 20%10/03Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%24/04Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%24/09
Projected finish1st of 4
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-370/100
1
Value2
OR 117
7/1
Golden Point silks

Julian And Karenina Morrison-bell

Golden Point

7yo Mare · 12-0

Bathyrhon - Diteou (Buck's Boum)

D R Fox70%2/5L Russell & M Scudamore60%
25511P
9.0Class ↓3

Impressed with her jumping switched to fences when landing a pair of handicaps here over 23f and C&D late in 2025. Pulled up in handicap at Uttoxeter (3m, soft) in March though and off since. No surprise to see her bounce back on her return though.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0111/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/02 · mark par1/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/03 · mark par25/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par18/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par29/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/12 · mark par29/12projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 39y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%6/01Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%1/03Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%18/11Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%29/12
Projected finish2nd of 4
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
67%1-457/100
4
3
OR 106
11/2
Inis Oirr silks

Mr Gerry McGladery

Inis Oirr

9yo Gelding · 11-3

Ocovango - Peace Time Beauty (Saddlers' Hall)

Gregor Walkingshaw1/4−10lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%
912234
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Unreliable sort, although he went with more fluency than of late when a creditable fourth of 9 to Upfordebate in handicap chase at Perth (3m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Others are still preferred.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par22/0323/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par14/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par7/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par12/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 39y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%22/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%14/05Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%12/07Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%24/09
Projected finish3rd of 4
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
33%1-370/100
5
4
OR 104
5/2
Sir Carnegie silks

Mr Mickey Bowen

Sir Carnegie

6yo Gelding · 11-1

Elusive Pimpernel - Sainte Careigne (Saint Des Saints)

Shane Fenelon60%3/11M Bowen70%
116513
6.0
Blinkers

Made it 5 wins for current yard (including over C&D) at Perth (3m) in September with positive tactics utilised again. Posted another good effort with third of 9 to Upfordebate in handicap there (3m, good to soft) 10 days ago. Not out of things, although yard also has Fairlawn Skipper in here.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/056/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par24/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 2f 39y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%14/05Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%18/07Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%24/09
Projected finish4th of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%1-457/100