14:45 · Uttoxeter

F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle

1m 7f 168yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav2
OR 94
10/3
Prettylady silks

The Pretty Lady Syndicate

4yo Filly · 11-9

The Grey Gatsby - Polarized (Medicean)

Jack Tudor60%1/3O Greenall & J Guerriero70%
P11491
7.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Improved when starting 2-2 in handicaps at Stratford/Southwell. Went missing for a couple of outings before belying market weakness to land a 4-runner Bangor handicap latest, presumably benefitting from another breathing operation/cheekpieces. This demands more again.

Class Advantage

11/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0217/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%11/02Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%26/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish1st of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-667/100
8
3
OR 87
5/1
Berry Edge silks

Mr Dan Skelton

8yo Gelding · 11-3

Mukhadram - Amaany (Teofilo)

Harry Skelton80%0/1D Skelton60%
953132
7.0
Tongue strap

Fair 3-time Flat winner. Decisively opened his hurdle account at Wetherby (2m, soft) in February. Matched that form on return (had a breathing operation in the interim) when 2½-length second at Worcester. Will hardly be a surprise if he finds the required improvement on second start for Dan Skelton.

Class Advantage

13/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/11 · mark par13/1124/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/11 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par17/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%13/11Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%30/01Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%17/03Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 89%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-667/100
10
6
OR 82
7/1
Bowling Shane silks

C & C Boultbee Brooks

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Australia - Ultra Appeal (Lawman)

R P McLernon60%0/1C Boultbee-Brooks70%
003542
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Steadily progressive in maidens on the Flat last year. Now getting the hang of things as a hurdler, too, notching a third in-frame finish from 4 handicap starts when 2½ lengths behind Uncle Remus over C&D. Each-way claims once again.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0416/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%2/04Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 82%5/05Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%13/07Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 92%15/09
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-477/100
9
Top Pick1
OR 100
4/1
Lucky Sevens silks

Four Winds Racing Partnership

3yo Gelding · 10-13

A'ali - Fairy Slipper (Singspiel)

J J Burke60%1/2James Owen60%
21
5.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Half-brother to useful hurdler. Runner-up on hurdling debut prior to looking fortunate to go one better in another small-field event at Stratford in July. Underlined he isn't one for maximum faith on Flat since but still potentially interesting pitched into open handicap company by excellent yard.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0521/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 56%30/05Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%29/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 50%22/07Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 12 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 8%29/08
Projected finish4th of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%6-1167/100
7
5
OR 90
7/1
Chico Magnifica silks

The Marca Syndicate

4yo Gelding · 11-5

Belardo - Magnifica (Mizzen Mast)

S Bowen80%0/3O Murphy60%
68992
5.0

Fairly useful-middle distance winner for Karl Burke. Much improved when ½-length second on handicap hurdle bow at Southwell in May. Likely to go one better at some point given his Flat background/excellent connections, though will need to be a bit sharper than last time if today's the day.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par22/091/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/05projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%22/09Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 30%8/03Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%18/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%11/05
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-855/100
11
4
OR 81
10/1
Northern Rose silks

Mr F W Dronzek & Mr C Chell

6yo Mare · 10-11

Footstepsinthesand - Becuille (Redback)

James Davies70%1/7G Hanmer70%
221734
6.0Class ↓3
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Twice a runner up at Stratford prior to belatedly opening her account in an 11-runner handicap over C&D in July. Has run creditably on 2 of her 3 starts since, latterly 4¾ lengths behind Uncle Remus. A 1 lb reprieve may not be enough, though.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par29/0619/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par20/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 92%29/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%26/07Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%4/09Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%15/09
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%1-1127/100
6
8
OR 89
9/2
Uncle Remus silks

Mr Mel Mathias

5yo Gelding · 11-5

Frontiersman - Sahalin (Red Rocks)

Brendan Powell60%1/2Miss H C Knight
398P51
7.0

Steadily progressed in bumpers for previous yard. Did plenty wrong in the early stages of his hurdling career, however, he kept mistakes at a minimum at Fontwell prior to opening his hurdles account over C&D last time. Could still be reasonably treated on his fair bumper form.

Class Advantage

10/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/1031/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par5/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 23%10/10Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 27%5/05Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%28/08Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%1-761/100
1
7
OR 98
100/1
Zucayan silks

Mr Ian Slatter

9yo Gelding · 12-0

Lucayan - John Quatz (Johann Quatz)

Nick Slatter60%3/26−3lbF O'Brien
522F78
3.0Class ↓3Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Tends to save his best for Ludlow (all 3 career wins there). Hasn't looked in top form since a late fall over C&D in June (booked for second at the time), for all he was poorly placed behind Uncle Remus here last time.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/103/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/12 · mark par10/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%23/10Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%10/05Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%25/08Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%15/09
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%4-1155/100
3
11
OR 93
20/1
Promethean silks

Lpd Demolition Ltd

5yo Gelding · 11-9

Intello - Vezina (Bering)

Jonathan England60%0/2S England
783F5
4.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Fair 1½m maiden winner on the Flat. Promising runs either side of a fall at Aintree in May, not ideally placed when 7½ lengths behind Uncle Remus on return (80/1) over C&D last time. Entitled to build on that and still early days in handicaps for a useful yard.

Class Advantage

28/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/122/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par8/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%28/12Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%20/02Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%1/04Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%15/09
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-572/100
4
9
OR 92
33/1
Raging Al silks

The Pant Wilkin Partnership

5yo Gelding · 11-8

Sea The Moon - Mountain Bell (Mount Nelson)

David NoonanTim Vaughan80%
U70527
4.0Class ↓3
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Free-going sort who shaped better than the beaten distance on both handicap starts to date, paying the price for a swift move into contention at Taunton in March. Could prove on a handy mark if settling in first-time tongue strap on return (first runner for new Hunt & Vaughan partnership).

Class Advantage

8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/0925/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par24/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par24/03projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 8%8/09Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%20/12Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%26/02Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%24/03
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%7-1172/100
5
10
OR 91
50/1
Arcon silks

Mrs Judith Ratcliff

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Soldier Hollow - Alisar (Oasis Dream)

Luke Scott60%0/3−3lbJ Candlish60%
3667
3.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Fairly useful stayer on Flat (stays 2m). Caught the eye of the stewards over C&D before again not taking to Worcester's brush hurdles on qualifying run in late-July. Return to this track will suit and opening mark an attractive one in the context of his Flat ability.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/0828/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par2/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/10 · mark par17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▼1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 7f 168y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%2/10Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%7/07Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%22/07
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%5-1161/100